Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012~DA14
Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences, no. 3 (2012), pp. 211-214.

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Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012 DA14 on the time interval from 1800 to 2206 is made, an object close approaches with Earth and the Moon are detected, the probability of impact with Earth is calculated. The used mathematical model is consistent with the DE405, the integration was performed using a modified Everhart’s method of 27th order, the probability of collision is calculated using the Monte Carlo method.
Keywords: mathematical modeling, Everhart's method, asteroids, asterod's hazard, Monte Carlo method.
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A. F. Zausaev; S. S. Denisov; A. E. Derevyanka. Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012~DA14. Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences, no. 3 (2012), pp. 211-214. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_3_a25/

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[2] Standish E. M., JPL Planetary and Lunar Ephemerides, DE405/LE405, Jet Prop Lab Technical Report. IOM 312. F–98–048, http://iau-comm4.jpl.nasa.gov/de405iom/de405iom.pdf

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