Recurrent methods of construction of cumulative functions of risk
Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences, no. 2 (2012), pp. 144-151.

Voir la notice de l'article provenant de la source Math-Net.Ru

The estimation problem of the enterprise total losses related to the improper performance of liability is considered. The total losses distribution function and density for the aggregate contracts are constructed by the recurrent methods, proposed by N. de Pril and H. Panjer. The numerical experiments based on five groups of contract portfolio are carried out. The results analysis showing the advantages and disadvantages of calculating algorithms is made. In particular, the values of means at risk obtained by H. Panjer method are superior to the corresponding values founded by N. de Pril method, and the maximum value of loss occurrence probability in the distribution density realized by H. Panjer method is less than the one, gotten by N. de Pril method. The results can be used for the further development of N. de Pril and H. Panjer approaches for estimation of total losses of risk aggregate.
Keywords: total loss, recurrent methods, cumulative functions of risk.
@article{VSGTU_2012_2_a15,
     author = {V. N. Nikishchov and E. V. Mikhailova},
     title = {Recurrent methods of construction of cumulative functions of risk},
     journal = {Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences},
     pages = {144--151},
     publisher = {mathdoc},
     number = {2},
     year = {2012},
     language = {ru},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_2_a15/}
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - V. N. Nikishchov
AU  - E. V. Mikhailova
TI  - Recurrent methods of construction of cumulative functions of risk
JO  - Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences
PY  - 2012
SP  - 144
EP  - 151
IS  - 2
PB  - mathdoc
UR  - http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_2_a15/
LA  - ru
ID  - VSGTU_2012_2_a15
ER  - 
%0 Journal Article
%A V. N. Nikishchov
%A E. V. Mikhailova
%T Recurrent methods of construction of cumulative functions of risk
%J Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences
%D 2012
%P 144-151
%N 2
%I mathdoc
%U http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_2_a15/
%G ru
%F VSGTU_2012_2_a15
V. N. Nikishchov; E. V. Mikhailova. Recurrent methods of construction of cumulative functions of risk. Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences, no. 2 (2012), pp. 144-151. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_2_a15/

[1] Granaturov V. M., Economic risk. Essence, Methods of Measuring, Ways of Reduction, Delo i Servis, Moscow, 1999, 111 pp.

[2] Sevastyanov B. A., A Course in Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Nauka, Moscow, 1982, 256 pp. | MR

[3] De Pril N., “On the exact computation of the aggregate claims distribution in the individual life model”, Astin Bulletin, 16:2 (1986), 109–112 | DOI

[4] De Pril N., “The aggregate claims distribution in the individual model with arbitrary positive claims”, Astin Bulletin, 19:1 (1989), 9–24 | DOI

[5] Falin G. I., Mathematical Analysis of Risks in Insurance, Rossiyskiy Yuridicheskiy Izdatel'skiy Dom, Moscow, 1994, 130 pp.

[6] Korolev V. Yu., Bening V. E., Shorgin S. Ya., Mathematical Foundation of Risk Theory, Fismatlit, Moscow, 2007, 544 pp.

[7] Panjer H. H., “Recursive evaluation of a famaly of compound distributions”, Astin Bulletin, 12:1 (1981), 12–26 | MR