Geodesic
Comparative analysis of strategies in the model of confrontation between power and opposition
Matematičeskoe modelirovanie, Tome 34 (2022) no. 11, pp. 67-76

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Building on the model of information warfare between the authorities and the opposition, some typical political scenarios are considered. The first scenario is characterized by the party in the office having an advantage in the resource of propaganda broadcasting, but the opposition's propaganda messages being more viral. In the second scenario, the values of these parameters are equal. When analyzing each of the situations, three strategies for distributing a limited broadcast resource for each of the two parties are considered: increasing, decreasing and flat ones. For example, the increasing strategy is characterized by low intensity of broadcasting at the beginning of the confrontation and high intensity at the end. Comparison of each of the three strategies of the party in power with each of the strategies of the opposition allows to construct a matrix game in which the payoff is the difference in the numbers of supporters of the parties at the end of the confrontation. The solution of this game determines the most profitable strategy for a given political situation.
Keywords: mathematical modeling, information warfare, "Power-Society" system, differential equations, numerical experiment. 
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     title = {Comparative analysis of strategies in the model of confrontation between power and opposition},
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A. P. Mikhailov; A. P. Petrov; O. G. Podlipskaia. Comparative analysis of strategies in the model of confrontation between power and opposition. Matematičeskoe modelirovanie, Tome 34 (2022) no. 11, pp. 67-76. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/MM_2022_34_11_a4/