Geodesic
On a probabilistic derivation of the basic particle statistics (Bose--Einstein, Fermi--Dirac, canonical, grand-canonical, intermediate) and related distributions
Trudy Moskovskogo matematičeskogo obŝestva, Trudy Moskovskogo Matematicheskogo Obshchestva, Tome 82 (2021) no. 1, pp. 93-104

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Combining intuitive probabilistic assumptions with the basic laws of classical thermodynamics, using the latter to express probabilistic parameters in terms of the thermodynamic quantities, we get a simple unified derivation of the fundamental ensembles of statistical physics avoiding any limiting procedures, quantum hypothesis and even statistical entropy maximization. This point of view leads also to some related classes of correlated particle statistics. 
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     author = {Vassili N. Kolokoltsov},
     title = {On a probabilistic derivation of the basic particle statistics {(Bose--Einstein,} {Fermi--Dirac,} canonical, grand-canonical, intermediate) and related distributions},
     journal = {Trudy Moskovskogo matemati\v{c}eskogo ob\^{s}estva},
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     volume = {82},
     number = {1},
     year = {2021},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/MMO_2021_82_1_a4/}
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Vassili N. Kolokoltsov. On a probabilistic derivation of the basic particle statistics (Bose--Einstein, Fermi--Dirac, canonical, grand-canonical, intermediate) and related distributions. Trudy Moskovskogo matematičeskogo obŝestva, Trudy Moskovskogo Matematicheskogo Obshchestva, Tome 82 (2021) no. 1, pp. 93-104. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/MMO_2021_82_1_a4/