Geodesic
Mathematical modelling of the spread of COVID-19, taking into account the distribution of asymptomatic cases between actually asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic cases
Matematičeskaâ biologiâ i bioinformatika, Tome 19 (2024) no. 1, pp. 52-60

Voir la notice de l'article provenant de la source Math-Net.Ru

The possibility of representation in a dynamic model of the three types of SARS-CoV-2 infection: asymptomatic, pre-symptomatic and symptomatic is studied. Furthermore, a compartmental model was proposed, with a branching of asymptomatic cases into pre-symptomatic and actually asymptomatic cases. Verification of the proposed model using data from the first wave of COVID-19 in St. Petersburg and the proportion of actually asymptomatic cases among all asymptomatic cases demonstrated adequate model behavior. The contribution of pre-symptomatic cases to the total number of symptomatic cases was studied. The need to account for the high proportion of asymptomatic carriers in strict quarantine was identified. 
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I. D. Kolesin; E. M. Zhitkova. Mathematical modelling of the spread of COVID-19, taking into account the distribution of asymptomatic cases between actually asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic cases. Matematičeskaâ biologiâ i bioinformatika, Tome 19 (2024) no. 1, pp. 52-60. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/MBB_2024_19_1_a1/

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