Dynamics of atmospheric precipitation summs in the eastern part of the Kuban river basin
News of the Kabardin-Balkar scientific center of RAS, no. 5 (2019), pp. 47-56.

Voir la notice de l'article provenant de la source Math-Net.Ru

Using statistical modeling methods, we studied the dynamics of precipitation averaged over the year and calendar seasons in the low mountains of the eastern part of the Kuban River basin from the 1960 to 2018. A negative trend was revealed only for winter precipitation; its statistical validity at a significance level of 0.05 was not confirmed. Only autumn precipitation increasing tendency as well as the positive precipitation trends in March and October show stability and statistical significance. The period of 2007- 2018 was the wettest period since 1960.
Keywords: precipitation, meteorological parameters, floods, statistical modeling, natural hazards.
@article{IZKAB_2019_5_a5,
     author = {E. A. Korchagina},
     title = {Dynamics of atmospheric precipitation summs in the eastern part of the {Kuban} river basin},
     journal = {News of the Kabardin-Balkar scientific center of RAS},
     pages = {47--56},
     publisher = {mathdoc},
     number = {5},
     year = {2019},
     language = {ru},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/IZKAB_2019_5_a5/}
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - E. A. Korchagina
TI  - Dynamics of atmospheric precipitation summs in the eastern part of the Kuban river basin
JO  - News of the Kabardin-Balkar scientific center of RAS
PY  - 2019
SP  - 47
EP  - 56
IS  - 5
PB  - mathdoc
UR  - http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/IZKAB_2019_5_a5/
LA  - ru
ID  - IZKAB_2019_5_a5
ER  - 
%0 Journal Article
%A E. A. Korchagina
%T Dynamics of atmospheric precipitation summs in the eastern part of the Kuban river basin
%J News of the Kabardin-Balkar scientific center of RAS
%D 2019
%P 47-56
%N 5
%I mathdoc
%U http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/IZKAB_2019_5_a5/
%G ru
%F IZKAB_2019_5_a5
E. A. Korchagina. Dynamics of atmospheric precipitation summs in the eastern part of the Kuban river basin. News of the Kabardin-Balkar scientific center of RAS, no. 5 (2019), pp. 47-56. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/IZKAB_2019_5_a5/

[1] P. M. Panov V. D. Tkachenko Yu. Yu. Lur'e, Kuban River: hydrography and flow regime, Gidrometeoizdat, SPb., 2005, 500 pp.

[2] State report «On the state and use of water resources of the Russian Federation in 2017 », NIA-Priroda, M., 2018, 298 pp.

[3] D. V. Magritskiy, N. I. Alekseyevskiy, “The Kuban river”, Popular science encyclopedia «Water of Russia»

[4] G. Blöschl et al., “Changing climate both increases and decreases European river floods”, Nature, 573:7772, Sep (2019), 108–111 | DOI

[5] A. N. Romanov, A. O. Lyutsiger, D. N. Troshkin et. al., Space microwave monitoring of dangerous hydrological phenomena in the south of Western Siberia, Pyat' plyus, Barnaul, 2017, 109 pp.

[6] E. A. Korchagina, “Variability of air temperature in the foothills of the North Caucasus Federal District”, V International Scientific and Practical Conference «Fundamental and applied aspects of geology, geophysics and geolecology using modern information technologies» (Republic of Adygeya, Maykop, May 20-24, 2019), v. I, 2019, 204–211

[7] H. Ye et al., “Increasing daily precipitation intensity associated with warmer air temperatures over Northern Eurasia”, J. Climate, 29 (2016), 623–636 | DOI

[8] K. Trenberth, “Changes in Precipitation with Climate Change”, Climate Research, 47 (2011), 123–138 | DOI

[9] O. N. Bulygina, V. N. Razuvaev, N. N. Korshunova, N. V. Shvets, Description of the data array of monthly precipitation totals at the stations of Russia, Certificate of state registration of the database No2015620394

[10] Report on climate features in the Russian Federation for 2018, Roshydromet, M., 2019, 79 pp.

[11] E. A. Korchagina, “Study of the dynamics of surface air temperature and seasonal precipitation in the Elbrus region (mid-20th - early 21st centuries)”, Grozny Natural Science Bulletin, 2016, no. 4 (4), 34–40

[12] E. A. Korchagina, “A study of the dynamics of precipitation in the flat part of the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic for the period from 1961 to 2015”, News of the Kabardin-Balkar Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 2017, no. 1 (75), 41–48

[13] Guidelines on the Calculation of Climate Normals, WMO, 2017

[14] E. A. Korchagina, “The research on stability of tendencies of climate elements in the highlands of Karachay-Cherkessia from 1959 to 2017”, Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiz. mat. nauki, 2018, no. 3, 106–115

[15] I. I. Eliseyeva, M. M. Yuzbashev, General theory of statistics, Finansy i statistika, M., 2006, 657 pp.