Geodesic
Transition phenomena in mathematical theory of epidemic
Dalʹnevostočnyj matematičeskij žurnal, Tome 2 (2001) no. 1, pp. 58-67

Voir la notice de l'article provenant de la source Math-Net.Ru

A generalization of the threshold Whittle's theorem of mathematical epidemic theory is made for a case when a number of susceptibles infected by an end of an epidemic is near its extremal values. It allows to give qualitative long-term prognosis of epidemic's damage. An algorythm of fast and precise calculation of a distribution of epidemic's damage for small meanings which correspond to short-term prognosis is constructed. 
@article{DVMG_2001_2_1_a4,
     author = {G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili and M. A. Osipova},
     title = {Transition phenomena in mathematical theory of epidemic},
     journal = {Dalʹnevosto\v{c}nyj matemati\v{c}eskij \v{z}urnal},
     pages = {58--67},
     publisher = {mathdoc},
     volume = {2},
     number = {1},
     year = {2001},
     language = {ru},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/DVMG_2001_2_1_a4/}
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili
AU  - M. A. Osipova
TI  - Transition phenomena in mathematical theory of epidemic
JO  - Dalʹnevostočnyj matematičeskij žurnal
PY  - 2001
SP  - 58
EP  - 67
VL  - 2
IS  - 1
PB  - mathdoc
UR  - http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/DVMG_2001_2_1_a4/
LA  - ru
ID  - DVMG_2001_2_1_a4
ER  - 
%0 Journal Article
%A G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili
%A M. A. Osipova
%T Transition phenomena in mathematical theory of epidemic
%J Dalʹnevostočnyj matematičeskij žurnal
%D 2001
%P 58-67
%V 2
%N 1
%I mathdoc
%U http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/DVMG_2001_2_1_a4/
%G ru
%F DVMG_2001_2_1_a4
G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili; M. A. Osipova. Transition phenomena in mathematical theory of epidemic. Dalʹnevostočnyj matematičeskij žurnal, Tome 2 (2001) no. 1, pp. 58-67. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/DVMG_2001_2_1_a4/