Partition-based conditional density estimation
ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 17 (2013), pp. 672-697

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We propose a general partition-based strategy to estimate conditional density with candidate densities that are piecewise constant with respect to the covariate. Capitalizing on a general penalized maximum likelihood model selection result, we prove, on two specific examples, that the penalty of each model can be chosen roughly proportional to its dimension. We first study a classical strategy in which the densities are chosen piecewise conditional according to the variable. We then consider Gaussian mixture models with mixing proportion that vary according to the covariate but with common mixture components. This model proves to be interesting for an unsupervised segmentation application that was our original motivation for this work.

DOI : 10.1051/ps/2012017
Classification : 62G08
Keywords: conditional density estimation, partition, penalized likelihood, piecewise polynomial density, gaussian mixture model
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     author = {Cohen, S. X. and Le Pennec, E.},
     title = {Partition-based conditional density estimation},
     journal = {ESAIM: Probability and Statistics},
     pages = {672--697},
     publisher = {EDP-Sciences},
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     year = {2013},
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Cohen, S. X.; Le Pennec, E. Partition-based conditional density estimation. ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 17 (2013), pp. 672-697. doi: 10.1051/ps/2012017

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