Geodesic
Mathematical Modeling and Quantitative Analysis of the Demographic and Ecological Aspects of Russian Supermortality
A. K. Cherkashin1 ; Ya. A. Leshchenko2
1 V.B. Sochava Institute of Geography SB RAS, Irkutsk, Russia
2 Angarsk Branch of the East-Siberian Center for Human Ecology SB RAMS Research Institute of Labor Medicine and Human Ecology, Angarsk, Russia
Mathematical modelling of natural phenomena, Tome 5 (2010) no. 6, pp. 243-258.

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We have carried out a polysystem analysis of the population dynamics by using a variety of hypotheses and their respective models based on different system interpretations of the phenomenon under investigation. Each of the models supplements standard dynamic equations for explaining the effects observed. A qualitative model-based analysis is made of the age-specific male mortality for a Siberian industrial city. The study revealed the tendencies for background mortality to increase with age and over time, which characterizes in an integral manner the influence of socio-ecological factors on the decline in population viability. It is shown that these tendencies are similar for different years and for different population age groups.
DOI : 10.1051/mmnp/20105611

A. K. Cherkashin 1 ; Ya. A. Leshchenko 2

1 V.B. Sochava Institute of Geography SB RAS, Irkutsk, Russia
2 Angarsk Branch of the East-Siberian Center for Human Ecology SB RAMS Research Institute of Labor Medicine and Human Ecology, Angarsk, Russia 
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A. K. Cherkashin; Ya. A. Leshchenko. Mathematical Modeling and Quantitative Analysis of the Demographic and Ecological Aspects of Russian Supermortality. Mathematical modelling of natural phenomena, Tome 5 (2010) no. 6, pp. 243-258. doi : 10.1051/mmnp/20105611. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/articles/10.1051/mmnp/20105611/

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