Geodesic
Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012 DA14
Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Tome 128 (2012) no. 3, pp. 211-214 Cet article a éte moissonné depuis la source Math-Net.Ru

Voir la notice de l'article

Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012 DA14 on the time interval from 1800 to 2206 is made, an object close approaches with Earth and the Moon are detected, the probability of impact with Earth is calculated. The used mathematical model is consistent with the DE405, the integration was performed using a modified Everhart’s method of 27th order, the probability of collision is calculated using the Monte Carlo method.
Keywords: mathematical modeling, Everhart's method, asteroids, asterod's hazard, Monte Carlo method. 
@article{VSGTU_2012_128_3_a25,
     author = {A. F. Zausaev and S. S. Denisov and A. E. Derevyanka},
     title = {Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid {2012~DA14}},
     journal = {Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences},
     pages = {211--214},
     year = {2012},
     volume = {128},
     number = {3},
     language = {ru},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_128_3_a25/}
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - A. F. Zausaev
AU  - S. S. Denisov
AU  - A. E. Derevyanka
TI  - Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012 DA14
JO  - Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences
PY  - 2012
SP  - 211
EP  - 214
VL  - 128
IS  - 3
UR  - http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_128_3_a25/
LA  - ru
ID  - VSGTU_2012_128_3_a25
ER  - 
%0 Journal Article
%A A. F. Zausaev
%A S. S. Denisov
%A A. E. Derevyanka
%T Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012 DA14
%J Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences
%D 2012
%P 211-214
%V 128
%N 3
%U http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_128_3_a25/
%G ru
%F VSGTU_2012_128_3_a25
A. F. Zausaev; S. S. Denisov; A. E. Derevyanka. Research of the orbital evolution of asteroid 2012 DA14. Journal of Samara State Technical University, Ser. Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Tome 128 (2012) no. 3, pp. 211-214. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VSGTU_2012_128_3_a25/

[1] Zausaev A. F., Abramov V. V., Denisov S. S., Catalogue of orbital evolution of asteroids approaching to the Earth between 1800 and 2204, Mashinostroenie-1, Moscow, 2007, 608 pp.

[2] Standish E. M., JPL Planetary and Lunar Ephemerides, DE405/LE405, Jet Prop Lab Technical Report. IOM 312. F–98–048, http://iau-comm4.jpl.nasa.gov/de405iom/de405iom.pdf

[3] Denisov S. S., “Software development for automating the process of creation database of asteroids' orbital evolution”, Vestn. Samar. Gos. Tekhn. Univ. Ser. Fiz.-Mat. Nauki, 2011, no. 4(25), 200–203 | DOI

[4] Ermakov S. M., Monte Carlo methods and Related Questions, Nauka, Moscow, 1975, 472 pp. | MR | Zbl