Detection precursory anomalies of zhupanovsky earthquake on january 30, 2016 with $M_w$= 7.2 and a depth of focus 171 km (Kamchatka) by eigenoscopy method
Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-matematičeskie nauki, no. 4 (2017), pp. 109-120 Cet article a éte moissonné depuis la source Math-Net.Ru

Voir la notice de l'article

This paper describes application of the eigenoscopy technique for analyzing the collective behavior of soil radon time series in order to detect the precursory anomalies before the deep Zhupanovsky earthquake with M = 7.2. Eigenoscope (from English .eigenvector.) or analyzer of eigenvectors and signal components. is a virtual device that allows us to detect the reference points of collective behavior in multidimensional time series. The multidimensional time series (01.08.2015-17.02.2016), obtained at the network of subsoil radon monitoring stations of the Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky geodynamic test area, are considered. Before the deep earthquake with M = 7.2, which occurred at a distance of 120 km from the registration point, a reference point in the dynamics of soil radon, which can be considered as a precursory anomaly, was confidently detected with the help of the eigenoscopy method.
Mots-clés : soil radon
Keywords: eigenoscopy, reference point, precursory anomaly, earthquake, forecast.
@article{VKAM_2017_4_a11,
     author = {P. P. Firstov and V. V. Isakevich and D. V. Isakevich and D. I. Budilov and E. O. Makarov and L. V. Grunskaya},
     title = {Detection precursory anomalies of zhupanovsky earthquake on january 30, 2016 with $M_w$= 7.2 and a depth of focus 171 km {(Kamchatka)} by eigenoscopy method},
     journal = {Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-matemati\v{c}eskie nauki},
     pages = {109--120},
     year = {2017},
     number = {4},
     language = {ru},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VKAM_2017_4_a11/}
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - P. P. Firstov
AU  - V. V. Isakevich
AU  - D. V. Isakevich
AU  - D. I. Budilov
AU  - E. O. Makarov
AU  - L. V. Grunskaya
TI  - Detection precursory anomalies of zhupanovsky earthquake on january 30, 2016 with $M_w$= 7.2 and a depth of focus 171 km (Kamchatka) by eigenoscopy method
JO  - Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-matematičeskie nauki
PY  - 2017
SP  - 109
EP  - 120
IS  - 4
UR  - http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VKAM_2017_4_a11/
LA  - ru
ID  - VKAM_2017_4_a11
ER  - 
%0 Journal Article
%A P. P. Firstov
%A V. V. Isakevich
%A D. V. Isakevich
%A D. I. Budilov
%A E. O. Makarov
%A L. V. Grunskaya
%T Detection precursory anomalies of zhupanovsky earthquake on january 30, 2016 with $M_w$= 7.2 and a depth of focus 171 km (Kamchatka) by eigenoscopy method
%J Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-matematičeskie nauki
%D 2017
%P 109-120
%N 4
%U http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VKAM_2017_4_a11/
%G ru
%F VKAM_2017_4_a11
P. P. Firstov; V. V. Isakevich; D. V. Isakevich; D. I. Budilov; E. O. Makarov; L. V. Grunskaya. Detection precursory anomalies of zhupanovsky earthquake on january 30, 2016 with $M_w$= 7.2 and a depth of focus 171 km (Kamchatka) by eigenoscopy method. Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-matematičeskie nauki, no. 4 (2017), pp. 109-120. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/VKAM_2017_4_a11/

[1] Firstov P.P., “Monitoring obemnoy aktivnosti podpochvennogo radona ($^{222}Rn$) na Paratunskoy geotermal'noy sisteme v 1997–1998 gg. s tsel'yu poiska predvestnikov sil'nykh zemletryaseniy Kamchatki”, Vulkanologiya i seysmologiya, 1999, no. 6, 22–31

[2] Rudakov V.P., Dinamika poley podpochvennogo radona seysmoaktivnykh regionov SNG, Avtoreferat na soiskanie stepeni doktora fiziko-matematicheskikh nauk, M., 1992

[3] Makarov E.O., Firstov P.P., Voloshin V.N., “Instrumental complex for registration concentration of subsurface gas to find precursory anomalies strong earthquake of Southern Kamchatka”, Seismic Instruments, 48:2 (2012), 5–14

[4] Firstov P.P., Makarov E.O., Akbashev R.R., “Monitoring of the concentration of soil gases on Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky geodynamical test site in relation with the forecast of strong earthquakes”, Seismic Instruments, 51:1 (2015), 60–80

[5] Firstov P.P., Makarov E.O., “Reaction of radon in soil and groundwater to stress-strain state of the earth's crust”, Seismic Instruments, 51:4 (2015), 58–80

[6] Lyubushin A.A., Analiz dannykh sistem geofizicheskogo i ekologicheskogo monitoringa, Nauka, M., 2007, 228 pp.

[7] Desherevskii A.V., Zhuravlev V.I., Nikolsky A.N., Sidorin A.Ya., “Technologies for analysis of geophysical time series. Part 1. Requirements for software”, Seismic Instruments, 52:1 (2016), 62–82

[8] Desherevskii A.V., Zhuravlev V.I., Nikolsky A.N., Sidorin A.Ya., “Technologies for analysis of geophysical time series. Part 2. WinABD – a software package for maintenance and data analysis of geophysical monitoring”, Seismic Instruments, 52:3 (2016), 50–80

[9] Isakevich V.V., Isakevich D.V., Grunskaja L.V., Analizator sobstvennyh vektorov i komponent signalov, Patent na poleznuju model' RU 116242. Data vydachi patenta 30.09.2011 g., srok dejstvija patenta do 30.09.2021 g http://bankpatentov.ru/node/207042

[10] Isakevich V.V., Isakevich D.V., Signalizator znachimyh otlichij, Patent na poleznuju model' RU 133642. Data vydachi patenta 05.04.2013 g., srok dejstvija patenta do 05.04.2023 g http://bankpatentov.ru/node/414199

[11] Isakevich V.V., Isakevich D.V., Grunskaja L.V., Firstov P.P., Signalizator izmenenij glavnyh komponent, Patent na poleznuju model' RU 141416. Data vydachi patenta 22.10.2013 g., srok dejstvija patenta do 22.10.2023 g

[12] Isakevich V.V., Firstov P.P., Isakevich D.V., Grunskaja L.V., Makarov E.O., “Ispol'zovanie metodiki diskriminantnyh funkcionalov dlja vyjavlenija repernyh tochek vo vremennyh rjadah koncentracii pochvennogo radona na seti punktov Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskogo geodinamicheskogo poligona”, Problemy kompleksnogo geofizicheskogo monitoringa Dal'nego Vostoka Rossii, Trudy Chetvertoj nauchno-tehnicheskoj konferencii. Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskij. 29 sentjabrja-5 oktjabrja 2013 g, GS RAN, Obninsk, 2013, 59–63

[13] Chebrov V.N., Kugaenko Ju.A., Abubakirov I.R., “Zhupanovskoe zemletrjasenie 30.01.2016 g. s $K_s$=15.7, $M_w$=7.2, I=6 (Kamchatka)”, Vestnik KRAUNC. Nauki o Zemle, 29:1 (2016), 5–16

[14] Firstov P.P., Makarov E.O., Glukhova I.P., “Peculiarities of subsoil gas dynamics before the $M$=7.2 Zhupanovo earthquake of January 30, 2016, Kamchatka”, Doklady Earth Sciences, 472:2 (2017), 196–199