Geodesic
An asymptotic distribution of epidemic's duration
Teoriâ veroâtnostej i ee primeneniâ, Tome 20 (1975) no. 4, pp. 821-833

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The joint limit distribution of the size and duration of the epidemic for a general stochastic model is considered. It is assumed that the initial state and the value of a regulating parameter are such that the threshold theorem holds true. 
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     author = {A. V. Nagaev and T. P. Mukhomor},
     title = {An asymptotic distribution of epidemic's duration},
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     volume = {20},
     number = {4},
     year = {1975},
     language = {ru},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/TVP_1975_20_4_a9/}
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A. V. Nagaev; T. P. Mukhomor. An asymptotic distribution of epidemic's duration. Teoriâ veroâtnostej i ee primeneniâ, Tome 20 (1975) no. 4, pp. 821-833. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/TVP_1975_20_4_a9/