Stochastic model of forecast flood situation on mountain-plain river

E. A. Semenchin ; F. F. Baranenko ; A. V. Voytyuk

Matematičeskoe modelirovanie, Tome 22 (2010) no. 10, pp. 109-118.

Résumé

The article presents integrated linear stochastic model of water stock's rippling on catchment area. This model takes into incidental noise in observed values of stock $W(t)$, water's flow $q(t)$ on catchment area, size of precipitation $R(t)$ and evaporation $E(t)$ from surface, and makes to get a forecast of stated quantities possible. There are some examples of practical application of the model.

Détail

Keywords: stochastic model, water level, catchments area, forecast algorithm, evaporation, time series.

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