Geodesic
Stochastic model of forecast flood situation on mountain-plain river
Matematičeskoe modelirovanie, Tome 22 (2010) no. 10, pp. 109-118

Voir la notice de l'article provenant de la source Math-Net.Ru

The article presents integrated linear stochastic model of water stock's rippling on catchment area. This model takes into incidental noise in observed values of stock $W(t)$, water's flow $q(t)$ on catchment area, size of precipitation $R(t)$ and evaporation $E(t)$ from surface, and makes to get a forecast of stated quantities possible. There are some examples of practical application of the model.
Keywords: stochastic model, water level, catchments area, forecast algorithm, evaporation, time series. 
@article{MM_2010_22_10_a7,
     author = {E. A. Semenchin and F. F. Baranenko and A. V. Voytyuk},
     title = {Stochastic model of forecast flood situation on mountain-plain river},
     journal = {Matemati\v{c}eskoe modelirovanie},
     pages = {109--118},
     publisher = {mathdoc},
     volume = {22},
     number = {10},
     year = {2010},
     language = {ru},
     url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/MM_2010_22_10_a7/}
}
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E. A. Semenchin; F. F. Baranenko; A. V. Voytyuk. Stochastic model of forecast flood situation on mountain-plain river. Matematičeskoe modelirovanie, Tome 22 (2010) no. 10, pp. 109-118. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/MM_2010_22_10_a7/