Geodesic
The generalized model of choice behaviour and its application to ethno-political conflicts
Matematičeskoe modelirovanie, Tome 15 (2003) no. 8, pp. 39-56.

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The mathematical model of social community behaviour when it is necessary to make a choice is constructed and studied. The main concept of the model is a concept of socio-political potential of typical person, making choice on the basis of social psychology laws. From mathematical point of view the model is a system of nonlinear ODE, describing various regimes of social community selfidentification with time. Examples of using of this model for analysis and prognosis of ethno-political situation in Dagestan are demonstrated. 
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A. P. Mikhailov; V. A. Shvedovskii; A. I. Maslov; V. F. Kovalev. The generalized model of choice behaviour and its application to ethno-political conflicts. Matematičeskoe modelirovanie, Tome 15 (2003) no. 8, pp. 39-56. http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/item/MM_2003_15_8_a4/

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