Seasonal Forcing Drives Spatio-Temporal Pattern Formation in Rabies Epidemics
Mathematical modelling of natural phenomena, Tome 2 (2007) no. 4, pp. 63-73
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Seasonal forcing is identified as a key pattern generating mechanism in an epidemic model of rabies dispersal. We reduce an established individual-based high-detail model down to a deterministic conceptual model. The characteristic wave pattern characterized by high densities of infected individuals is maintained throughout the reduction process. In our model it is evident that seasonal forcing is the dominant factor that drives pattern formation. In particular we show that seasonal forcing can cause splitting of epidemic wave fronts.
Affiliations des auteurs :
N. V. Festenberg 1 ; T. Gross 2 ; B. Blasius 3
@article{10_1051_mmnp:2008026,
author = {N. V. Festenberg and T. Gross and B. Blasius},
title = {Seasonal {Forcing} {Drives} {Spatio-Temporal} {Pattern} {Formation} in {Rabies} {Epidemics}},
journal = {Mathematical modelling of natural phenomena},
pages = {63--73},
publisher = {mathdoc},
volume = {2},
number = {4},
year = {2007},
doi = {10.1051/mmnp:2008026},
language = {en},
url = {http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/articles/10.1051/mmnp:2008026/}
}
TY - JOUR AU - N. V. Festenberg AU - T. Gross AU - B. Blasius TI - Seasonal Forcing Drives Spatio-Temporal Pattern Formation in Rabies Epidemics JO - Mathematical modelling of natural phenomena PY - 2007 SP - 63 EP - 73 VL - 2 IS - 4 PB - mathdoc UR - http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/articles/10.1051/mmnp:2008026/ DO - 10.1051/mmnp:2008026 LA - en ID - 10_1051_mmnp:2008026 ER -
%0 Journal Article %A N. V. Festenberg %A T. Gross %A B. Blasius %T Seasonal Forcing Drives Spatio-Temporal Pattern Formation in Rabies Epidemics %J Mathematical modelling of natural phenomena %D 2007 %P 63-73 %V 2 %N 4 %I mathdoc %U http://geodesic.mathdoc.fr/articles/10.1051/mmnp:2008026/ %R 10.1051/mmnp:2008026 %G en %F 10_1051_mmnp:2008026
N. V. Festenberg; T. Gross; B. Blasius. Seasonal Forcing Drives Spatio-Temporal Pattern Formation in Rabies Epidemics. Mathematical modelling of natural phenomena, Tome 2 (2007) no. 4, pp. 63-73. doi: 10.1051/mmnp:2008026
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